Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.002629 0.002803 0.002989 0.003207 0.003454 0.003730 0.004063
2025-01-26 0.002249 0.002463 0.002705 0.003004 0.003368 0.003807 0.004389
2025-02-02 0.002100 0.002351 0.002646 0.003030 0.003527 0.004172 0.005115
2025-02-09 0.002021 0.002304 0.002651 0.003121 0.003767 0.004671 0.006142
2025-02-16 0.001928 0.002227 0.002604 0.003134 0.003896 0.005034 0.007074
2025-02-23 0.001887 0.002211 0.002631 0.003242 0.004169 0.005664 0.008708
2025-03-02 0.001799 0.002125 0.002555 0.003195 0.004200 0.005902 0.009704
2025-03-09 0.001710 0.002032 0.002461 0.003111 0.004158 0.006001 0.010446
2025-03-16 0.001678 0.002013 0.002468 0.003175 0.004363 0.006602 0.012845
2025-03-23 0.001646 0.001991 0.002467 0.003227 0.004553 0.007229 0.016014
2025-03-30 0.001592 0.001935 0.002414 0.003190 0.004577 0.007506 0.018352
2025-04-06 0.001526 0.001860 0.002328 0.003093 0.004477 0.007473 0.019375
2025-04-13 0.001484 0.001818 0.002294 0.003085 0.004561 0.007947 0.024182
2025-04-20 0.001395 0.001708 0.002153 0.002891 0.004262 0.007383 0.021937
2025-04-27 0.001368 0.001685 0.002141 0.002914 0.004397 0.008007 0.029655
2025-05-04 0.001358 0.001685 0.002165 0.002998 0.004672 0.009163 0.053153
2025-05-11 0.001331 0.001661 0.002149 0.003010 0.004796 0.009934 0.096544
2025-05-18 0.001326 0.001667 0.002180 0.003110 0.005138 0.011735 26.402667
2025-05-25 0.001290 0.001627 0.002135 0.003067 0.005133 0.012178 NaN
2025-06-01 0.001250 0.001578 0.002075 0.002989 0.005033 0.012162 NaN
2025-06-08 0.001240 0.001574 0.002087 0.003049 0.005289 0.014059 NaN
2025-06-15 0.001228 0.001566 0.002092 0.003097 0.005527 0.016250 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001201 0.001535 0.002057 0.003062 0.005533 0.017050 NaN